BTC adoption started slowly, but increased over time.
With the recent entry of traditional financial participants into the blockchain space, how long will it take for corporate investments inBitcoin (BTC) to become common? Brian Estes, founder of Off The Chain Capital investment firm, thinks 10 years.
„I think in 2029, 2030, when 90% of families and people in the United States use cryptomoeda and Bitcoin, then I think this will become a stable part of the economy, and not just the U.S. economy, but I think the world economy,“ he told Cointelegraph in an interview.
The reasoning of Estes is based on an analysis of the S curve, a common graphic image that describes the speed and process of adopting new technologies. „The amount of time it takes for a new technology to go from 0% adoption to 10% adoption is the same amount of time it takes to go from 10% to 90% adoption,“ said Estes.
Digital asset holders make up at least 15% of the 18-and-older U.S. population, based on 2020 data from consultancy firm Cornerstone Advisors, as reported by Forbes contributor Ron Shevlin in July. Acting U.S. Comptroller of the Currency Brian Brooks also commented on this 15% estimate in an August interview with CNN.
In 2019, only 10% of U.S. persons held crypto assets, up from 0% before Bitcoin’s launch in early 2009, Estes pointed out out.
In April 2019, data from Blockchain Capital asserted that Bitcoin holders comprised 11% of the U.S. population.
Digital asset holders represent at least 15% of the U.S. population 18 years and older, based on 2020 data from Cornerstone Advisors, as reported by Forbes journalist Ron Shevlin in July. U.S. Currency Controller Brian Brooks also commented on this 15% estimate in an August interview with CNN.
In 2019, only 10% of Americans held crypto assets, compared to 0% before the launch of Bitcoin in early 2009, noted Estes. In April 2019, data from Blockchain Capital stated that Bitcoin holders already comprised 11% of the US population.
„It took 10 years for Bitcoin to go from 0 to 10% adoption“, he said. According to the analysis of the S curve, BTC should reach 90% of adoption in the current decade. Considering that 15% of people in the United States had cryptomorphs in 2020, they said: „We are on track to reach 90% in the year 2029.
„It’s no longer ‚if‘,“ said Estes about the adoption of cryptography, adding:
„Between 0 and 10% adoption is an ‚if‘. When a new technology reaches 10% adoption, it’s a ‚when‘. It’s the same amount of time, and I can give many examples – from personal computers to the Internet, fax machines in the 1970s, washing machines in the 1940s, automobiles in the 1930s, railroads in the 1800s, shipping in the 1600s – it’s all the same adoption curve. “
Besides MicroStrategy, Square and billionaire Paul Tudor Jones also made big bets on Bitcoin in 2020.